2015년 1월 24일 토요일

First Thoughts: GOP Contenders Compete At Three Very Different Gatherings


 January 23, 2015 
NBC NEWSFIRST READ
 
 GOP Bracketology: Contenders Compete at Three Very Different Gatherings
There's no competitive football to watch this weekend -- we have to wait until next Sunday for that -- but there are enough GOP cattle calls and meetings to keep the political world busy. On Saturday, several potential Republican presidential candidates gather at Rep. Steve King's (R-IA) Iowa Freedom Summit. The line-up of speakers includes Sen. Ted Cruz, Gov. Chris Christie, Gov. Scott Walker, former Gov. Mike Huckabee, former Gov. Rick Perry, former Sen. Rick Santorum, Ben Carson, and Carly Fiorina. (Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich and, yes, Donald Trump are speaking too.) With a couple of exceptions (Christie, Fiorina), these are the folks who are vying in the CONSERVATIVE bracket in the GOP nominating contest. A second Republican cattle call over the weekend is happening at the Koch Brothers' winter retreat in Palm Springs, CA. As usual, it's a secretive meeting that doesn't allow TV cameras and reporters to cover it. But for the first time, one Koch political group is releasing to news organizations a livestream of a Sunday night discussion with Sens. Cruz, Rand Paul, and Marco Rubio. These are the folks vying to win the KOCH BROTHERS primary. And the third Republican meeting took place last night -- between Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney in Utah. The New York Times' readout: "The meeting was cordial and touched on both policy and the Republicans' need to field a strong contender for the presidency in 2016." These are the men competing in the ESTABLISHMENT bracket.

Jeb certainly hasn't cleared the GOP field -- at least not yet
Speaking of Jeb, it's worth noting that -- despite all of his well-publicized moves over the past month -- he certainly hasn't cleared the potential Republican field (especially compared with the way Kamala Harris has in California). Well, at least not yet. Consider: Mitt Romney appears closer to a presidential bid than anyone expected two weeks ago; Christie, despite his problems at home, hasn't closed the door and heads to Iowa this weekend; and now Rubio is taking new steps toward a presidential run. NBC News confirms that Rubio has hired a new finance director (Anna Rogers from the Karl Rove-backed group American Crossroads), has planned early state visits for next month, and is skipping Senate votes next week to raise money in California. What's more, we also can report that Rubio has locked down two big GOP donors (George Seay in Dallas and Jim Rubrich in Atlanta). If Bush ultimately runs, we're pretty confident that he'll be able to lock up much of the GOP establishment money. But so far, he hasn't frightened his potential GOP rivals.

The scariest news in the world is coming out of Yemen
In the news world, this has been a week about deflated footballs, protocol over a future foreign leader's visit, and 2016 cattle calls. But all of these things seem so small compared with what's probably the most important story going on in the world right now: the instability in Yemen. The headline in the Wall Street Journal: "Yemen's Government Falls Amid Standoff." The story: "Yemen's president and cabinet resigned on Thursday amid a standoff with a powerful anti-American militia, signaling deep uncertainty for U.S. counterterrorism strategy in the country and the future of a drone program in what has become a cornerstone of the global war on terror." Folks, this is the single scariest thing going on in the world right now. It creates a dangerous vacuum in a dangerous part of the world. The United States used to have sway and influence with the old government. The new? Not so much...

Steyer says no to Senate bid, likely setting up Harris-vs.-Villaraigosa contest
On Thursday, wealthy environmentalist Tom Steyer announced he would NOT run for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-CA), which means that the race is looking like Kamala Harris vs. Antonio Villaraigosa (if he runs). And if that's the contest, it will be FASCINATING to watch -- both demographically and geographically.

On "Meet" this Sunday
Chuck Todd's guests include former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee and White House Chief of Staff Denis McDonough.

Click here to sign up for First Read emails. Text FIRST to 622639, to sign up for First Read alerts to your mobile phone. Check us out on Facebook and also on Twitter. Follow us @chucktodd, @mmurraypolitics@carrienbcnews




 
  
 
 First Read's Morning Clips
OBAMA AGENDA: Watching the chaos in Yemen
The New York Times on Yemen: "The American-backed government of Yemen abruptly collapsed Thursday night, leaving the country leaderless as it is convulsed by an increasingly powerful force of pro-Iran rebels and a resurgent Qaeda. The resignation of the president, prime minister and cabinet took American officials by surprise and heightened the risks that Yemen, the Arab world's poorest country, would become even more of a breeding ground for Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, which has claimed responsibility for audacious anti-Western attacks - including the deadly assault on Charlie Hebdo in Paris this month. "
The U.S. has pulled staff out of its embassy in Yemen amid the growing crisis,Reuters reports.
The New York Times editorial board: "The United States and Yemen's neighboring countries must nudge the antagonists in this crisis toward a compromise that avoids the wholesale collapse of the state. The implications of a complete unraveling of government institutions would be catastrophic."
The Associated Press looks back at the life of Saudi King Abdullah, dead at 90: "His changes looked minute to the outside world. But in a kingdom where ultra-conservative Muslim clerics long have held a lock on all aspects of society, King Abdullah's incremental reforms echoed mightily."
The Wall Street Journal looks at his death's possible impact on oil policy: "Even after the death of King Abdullah, announced early Friday, the kingdom is likely to continue to pump crude in the face of a global glut, which has helped push prices down by more than 55% since last June."
The Washington Post on the Cuba-U.S. diplomacy talks: "The sober descriptions of what still divides the two governments deflated some of the enthusiasm for rapid change that has been building on both sides. But the delegations said they would set an early date for another meeting and were committed to the public pledge made by President Obama and Cuban President Raúl Castro last month to restore diplomatic relations and then begin to tackle other areas of discord."
From NBC News: "President Barack Obama will not meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanhayu when he visits the United States in March, his administration announced Thursday, citing a "long-standing practice" of avoiding appearances with heads of state in close proximity to their elections."

CONGRESS: Abortion politics
Our Capitol Hill team on yesterday's House action on abortion: "The day after GOP leaders scrapped consideration of a bill to ban abortions after 20 weeks of pregnancy, the House has passed another measure to further ensure that federal funds cannot be spent on abortions."
The Washington Post's take: "The episode exposed a growing concern within the GOP that emphasizing culture-war issues in the new Congress could distract from the party's broader agenda and upend hopes of retaking the White House."
House and Senate Republicans are meeting behind closed doors to talk about the details of a potential border bill, reports Roll Call.

OFF TO THE RACES: Rubio makes new 2016 moves
From the New York Times, on the Bush-Romney summit: "Jeb Bush and Mitt Romney did not reach an agreement during a Salt Lake City lunch meeting on Thursday on how to reconcile their competing plans to run for the White House next year, advisers to both men indicated after the talk ... Republicans close to both Mr. Romney and Mr. Bush were notably tight-lipped about the long-planned meeting, which the two would-be candidates and their advisers were unhappy had been revealed publicly."
From the Washington Post: "For the first time, a private gathering of wealthy conservative political donors brought together by Charles and David Koch will allow a look inside its much-scrutinized conclaves. On Sunday night, the group will share with news organizations a live Web stream of one of its final panels set to be held in the weekend at a luxurious Palm Springs resort. The session will feature three potential 2016 presidential contenders: Sens. Ted Cruz of Texas, Rand Paul of Kentucky and Marco Rubio of Florida."
BUSH: "The New Hampshire Journal has learned that a top Washington-based political strategist, Sara Taylor Fagen, has been inquiring about local operatives who might be willing to work with a Bush campaign in the state, should he run."
CHRISTIENJ.com: "Gov. Chris Christie's appointment of an emergency manager to oversee Atlantic City gives the appearance of a take-charge leader doing everything he can to help a desperate city ... But the move also underscores a big risk to Christie's 2016 presidential prospects: That he could be selling his management skills to the country while an iconic American city spirals out of control under his watch, with thousands of jobs lost and hulking empty towers left behind as city residents complain of skyrocketing property tax bills."
GRAHAMNBC's Leigh Ann Caldwell reports: "Americans might know Sen. Lindsey Graham from television appearances alongside his cohort, Arizona Sen. John McCain, pushing an aggressive foreign policy. But now that he has announced his exploration for president, Republicans in his home state of South Carolina have let out a collective sigh, shaking their heads in confusion."
PATAKI: Pataki-watch: He's headed to New Hampshire next week, writes NH1.com.
ROMNEYMother Jones' David Corn: "It is time for liberals to cheer Mitt Romney. Not because his possible entry into the 2016 Republican presidential contest could cause chaos for the GOP. But because Romney, apparently seeing the error of his "severely conservative" ways, has become a progressive crusader."
RUBIONBC News confirms that Rubio is taking new steps toward a possible 2016 run, including the hiring of Anna Rogers from the Karl Rove-backed group American Crossroads as a new finance director. He has planned early state visits for next month and is skipping Senate votes next week to raise money in California.
WALKER: David Polyansky, the top strategist for Joni Ernst's 2014 campaign and Mike Huckabee's onetime Iowa guru, has signed on to be Scott Walker's senior adviser in Iowa, per the Des Moines Register.
The Journal Sentinel: "Money will be a challenge for Scott Walker. But the Republican presidential race is open-ended enough and his political record is distinctive enough that the Wisconsin governor has one of the more plausible paths to his party's nomination in 2016. That's the view of many top party officials outside Wisconsin."

And around the country:
CALIFORNIA: Tom Steyer won't run for Senate in California, he announced via The Huffington Post.
NEW YORKProsecutors say New York Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver's law firm was a front to mask about $4 million in payoffs. Silver turned himself in yesterday; he's been slapped with a five-count indictment.
OHIO: In a brief interview with NBC News on Thursday, newly announced Senate candidate PG Sittenfield (D), 30, cast himself as a Washington outsider and a new generation of political leaders stepping up. He accused sitting Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH) as a "creature of Washington" and an "architect of the Bush budget" when he worked in the Bush administration.

PROGRAMMING NOTES.
*** Friday's "News Nation with Tamron Hall" line-up: Frances Rivera sits in for Tamron Hall. She speaks with Washington Post Sports Editor Cindy Boren about allegations that the New England Patriots deflated footballs in the NFL AFC championship game, GasBuddy Senior Petroleum analyst Patrick Dehaan about falling gas prices and what it means for the economy, and in our on-going series Born in the USA: The founders of Doc Popcorn Rob and Renee Israel talk about the story behind their company.
*** Friday's "Andrea Mitchell Reports" line-up: Andrea hosts a special edition of Andrea Mitchell Reports live from Havana, Cuba. She'll have an exclusive interview with Cuba's Foreign Minister Josefina Vidal, an exclusive interview with U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Roberta Jacobson, Rep. Chris Van Hollen, Brookings Institution's Bruce Riedel and former Patriots Quarterback Damon Huard.
 
 
 Harry Reid Weighs In -- On Deflate-Gate
Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid has thoughts on a lot of things: an upcoming visit by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, fast-track authority for presidential approval of trade deals... and Deflate-Gate.
Speaking to reporters for his first press conference since an exercise accident that left his right eye bandaged, the avid sports fan was asked what he thinks about the ongoing controversy over the under-inflation of footballs during the game that sent the New England Patriots to the Superbowl next month.
"I can't believe the National Football League, with the billions of dollars they make, couldn't at least determine how much air should be in a football," said the most powerful Democrat in the United States Senate. "I don't see why it should be left up to the teams."
Reid also disclosed that he always reads the sports page "first," because "there's such good news in the sports page."

- Frank Thorp and Carrie Dann
 
 
 Obama Won't Meet with Netanyahu, Citing Israeli Leader's Re-Election Race
President Barack Obama will not meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanhayu when he visits the United States in March, his administration announced Thursday, citing a "long-standing practice" of avoiding appearances with heads of state in close proximity to their elections.
"As a matter of long-standing practice and principle, we do not see heads of state or candidates in close proximity to their elections, so as to avoid the appearance of influencing a democratic election in a foreign country," said Bernadette Meehan a spokesperson for the National Security Council. "Accordingly, the President will not be meeting with Prime Minister Netanyahu because of the proximity to the Israeli election, which is just two weeks after his planned address to the U.S. Congress."
Secretary of State John Kerry also will not meet with Netanyahu during the visit, the State Department confirmed, citing the same reason.
Netanhayu has been invited to address a joint session of Congress on March 3. The invitation was extended by House Speaker John Boehner in an apparent challenge to the president's opposition to additional congressional sanctions on Iran. Boehner notably did not consult the White House before making the invitation.
"The President has been clear about his opposition to Congress passing new legislation on Iran that could undermine our negotiations and divide the international community," Meehan said. "The President has had many conversations with the Prime Minister on this matter, and I am sure they will continue to be in contact on this and other important matters."
Boehner spokesman Cory Fritz said, "Our president rolls out unconstitutional executive actions on a whim and now he's concerned about protocol? The American people need to hear from Prime Minister Netanyahu at this critical moment."
- Kristin Welker and Carrie Dann
 
 
 Billionaire Environmentalist Steyer Passes on California Senate Run
Tom Steyer, the billionaire environmental activist who spent over $70 million on the 2014 midterms, announced Thursday that he will not pursue a run to replace retiring California Democrat Sen. Barbara Boxer.
In a blog on The Huffington Post, Steyer wrote that the decision "about whether to engage from the outside or seek elected office came down to a single question: How best can I fight for a level playing field at this point?"
"Given the imperative of electing a Democratic president -- along with my passion for our state -- I believe my work right now should not be in our nation's capital but here at home in California, and in states around the country where we can make a difference," he said.
California Attorney General Kamala Harris has announced a run for the seat, and former Los Angeles mayor Antonio Villaraigosa is also said to be considering a bid.

- Carrie Dann

 
 More from First Read: 
 
House Scraps One Abortion Bill, Passes Another To Tighten Federal Restrictions>
First Read Minute: Confrontation Already Marks Start to the New Political Year>
Pelosi Blasts Boehner for Go-It-Alone Netanyahu Invite>
Manchin Makes Moves as He Mulls Run for Gov>
Game On: Confrontation Already Marks The Start of New Political Year>
 
 
 



댓글 없음:

댓글 쓰기